INSIDE LAKESIDE
Log In or Register

Check your spam/junk folder for activation e-mail after you register.

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by Cincy on Sat Feb 23, 2019 5:12 pm

Just looking at where Lake Chapala water levels might be after the rainy season this year based on a couple of assumptions.

Assumption 1:
The water level follows the 2017 rainy season trend from this day forward.
In mid October the lake will peak .47 meters (18.5 inches) higher than the highest point this year.

Assumption 2:
The water level follows the 2018 rainy season trend from this day forward.
In late November the lake will peak 1.62 meters (63.8 inches) higher than the highest point this year.

Lake Chapala water

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Lake_g10

Cincy
Share Holder
Share Holder

Posts : 153
Join date : 2015-09-23
Age : 63
Location : Ajijic
Humor : Monty Python...

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by cypress on Sat Feb 23, 2019 5:52 pm

Interesting

cypress
Share Holder
Share Holder

Posts : 461
Join date : 2012-05-16
Location : Ajijic

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by CanuckBob on Sun Feb 24, 2019 7:30 am

If scenario two transpires that will put the bottom the the N/S streets in Ajijic underwater. It will be at the very top of the malecon.

_________________
Vacation Rentals
www.casadecomo.webs.com
CanuckBob
CanuckBob
Humble Administrator
Humble Administrator

Posts : 15892
Join date : 2010-04-04
Age : 55
Location : Lake Chapala (from Vancouver)
Humor : Sick and twisted

http://Www.casadecomo.webs.com

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by SunFan on Sun Feb 24, 2019 7:57 am

A question would be what the outflow through the Santiago River might be to limit depth?

SunFan
SunFan
SunFan
Share Holder
Share Holder

Posts : 944
Join date : 2011-09-11
Age : 71
Location : San Antonio Tlayacapan - Upper Chula Vista
Humor : None....no I'm joking.

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by CanuckBob on Sun Feb 24, 2019 7:59 am

Well Maria Isabela Restaurant was 3 feet underwater back in the 70's so I suppose it can happen again.

_________________
Vacation Rentals
www.casadecomo.webs.com
CanuckBob
CanuckBob
Humble Administrator
Humble Administrator

Posts : 15892
Join date : 2010-04-04
Age : 55
Location : Lake Chapala (from Vancouver)
Humor : Sick and twisted

http://Www.casadecomo.webs.com

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by gringal on Sun Feb 24, 2019 9:11 am

CanuckBob wrote:Well Maria Isabela Restaurant was 3 feet underwater back in the 70's so I suppose it can happen again.

One of the members here said you had to wade through pretty high water to get a beer...but of course, they did.
Beer

gringal
Share Holder
Share Holder

Posts : 10711
Join date : 2010-04-09
Location : Lake Chapala (from CA)
Humor : occasionally

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by CanuckBob on Sun Feb 24, 2019 9:56 am

It was slainte39 and I'm sure he would crawl 100 meters on crushed glass to get a beer...….. Beer

_________________
Vacation Rentals
www.casadecomo.webs.com
CanuckBob
CanuckBob
Humble Administrator
Humble Administrator

Posts : 15892
Join date : 2010-04-04
Age : 55
Location : Lake Chapala (from Vancouver)
Humor : Sick and twisted

http://Www.casadecomo.webs.com

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by SunshineyDay on Sun Feb 24, 2019 11:01 am

I think it would depend on the beer. Beer

SunshineyDay
Share Holder
Share Holder

Posts : 1066
Join date : 2012-12-02

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by slainte39 on Sun Feb 24, 2019 2:14 pm

CanuckBob wrote:It was slainte39 and I'm sure he would crawl 100 meters on crushed glass to get a beer...….. Beer

It made me go take swimming lessons. with a reward  Beer  Beer Beer
There´s an old Irish saying or joke of "why learn how to swim?, it just takes longer to drown/die if your boat goes down."

Seriously, the high water back then caused a lot of damage to properties all around the lake, so they dredged and excavated the source of the Rio Santiago at Ocotlán to lower the level of outflow.  Since the the lake hasn´t reached that level in years i would imagine that sediment and silt would have to be dealt with again as those lirio roots impede and hold a lot that would have cleaned out naturally by a constant flow of water, which hasn´t happened in a long time.

slainte39
Share Holder
Share Holder

Posts : 7889
Join date : 2010-07-22

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by CanuckBob on Sun Feb 24, 2019 2:54 pm

Agreed. Those that are down on the lakefront or needing those lower roads to access their property better be thinking of solutions because that second scenario detailed above is a high probability.

_________________
Vacation Rentals
www.casadecomo.webs.com
CanuckBob
CanuckBob
Humble Administrator
Humble Administrator

Posts : 15892
Join date : 2010-04-04
Age : 55
Location : Lake Chapala (from Vancouver)
Humor : Sick and twisted

http://Www.casadecomo.webs.com

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by Cincy on Sun Feb 24, 2019 3:08 pm

I'm guessing the local people that erect all the temporary cabanas along the lake shore in Ajijic for the Semana Santa (Easter, April 14-20?) celebrations might be a little short on space this year!  Maybe the lake will have receded enough for them to camp out?  I think it's getting close to the time when they start claiming the best locations with a few bamboo poles...

Cincy
Share Holder
Share Holder

Posts : 153
Join date : 2015-09-23
Age : 63
Location : Ajijic
Humor : Monty Python...

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by CanuckBob on Sun Feb 24, 2019 3:55 pm

The lake has receded about 14" from looking at the water mark in the skate bowl. I doubt it will recede enough to expose that lower field by Easter unless we get an extraordinarily warm March. Even then it will be quite muddy and wet.

_________________
Vacation Rentals
www.casadecomo.webs.com
CanuckBob
CanuckBob
Humble Administrator
Humble Administrator

Posts : 15892
Join date : 2010-04-04
Age : 55
Location : Lake Chapala (from Vancouver)
Humor : Sick and twisted

http://Www.casadecomo.webs.com

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by NoVaDamer on Sun Feb 24, 2019 9:43 pm

We're in an El Niño weather pattern this year. While these are inherently difficult to predict, the normal pattern for central Mexico is cooler/wetter winter (which we just had) and a warmer, drier summer. So we have that going for us. Neither 2017 or 2018 were El Niño years.
NoVaDamer
NoVaDamer
Senior member
Senior member

Posts : 65
Join date : 2012-05-30
Location : Ajijic
Humor : Si!

Back to top Go down

Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season Empty Re: Lake Chapala - Extrapolated Lake Levels For 2019 Rainy Season

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Back to top

- Similar topics

 
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum